Here are my latest predictions for who’ll get nominated in the eight main Oscar races on Feb. 2. Read the full post.
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(RE)AMEN! Meryl’s a Godess, PERIODE!!
It’s funny, neither James Cameron’s actor nor scripts are ever recognized. He has as much artistic integrity as a could fill a thimble. Technically brilliant and a popcorn movie magnet but nothing artistic to his work.
Well, both Kate Winslet and Gloria Stuart were nominated for Titanic. I’m not big fan of Cameron, but he makes entertaining flicks. And I’m actually Titanic defender. It wasn’t my favorite movie that year. But I think what it did, serve up an old fashioned soap opera romance, it did very well, not to mention the technical achievements of that film.
I haven’t seen Avatar, but my friends who’ve seen it say story-wise it is a weaker film than Titanic.
I still laugh over my friend’s recommendation of Avatar. Friend – “It’s so beautiful you should see it. Me – “What about the story?” Friend – “Oh, it’s just okay, but everything in it is so beautiful so you should still see it.”
Yeah, L.A. Confidential was a better, fresher story in my mind it should of won Best Picture
Dave Karger, you’re predictions are great! I had the same idea!
However, I still believe 500 Days could get a BP nod. I think they have as much of a chance a District 9 and The Messenger. Let’s cross our fingers!
Also, if NINE gets even ONE nomination, I’ll be pissed! Hairspray, 2 years ago, was 10 times better than Nine and got MUCH better reviews, yet did not receive one nomination and didn’t have as much buzz as Nine does! Nine sucks! Doesn’t deserve anything!
Well…that’s all! Yay for Precious! Bye!
(Also, considering how competitive Animated Feature is, could you put up your predictions for that?)
good movies,hard choices but its George Clooneys time to take the Oscar..he is soooooo good
I think it’s going to be between Clooney and Bridges. I actually suspect Bridges will take the win. He’s beloved and has never won but been nominated several times. Plus, Clooney has won an oscar. It’ll be a close race, though. Still think Bridges will pull it out. This is his Tender Mercies.
and best foreign film cathegory? huh?
I think (500) Days of Summer will get the nomination over The Messenger…just my gut feeling!
I’m hoping you’re right.
Disappointed to not see Michelle Pfeiffer on your list for “Cherie” as well as Ellen Burstyn for “The Stone Angel”. Both solid performances by two of our best living actresses, especially Burstyn.
I love Michelle Pfeiffer, but she was too stiff and mannered in Cherie – not a good role for her. Still gorgeous, though.
I still wonder why everyone is overlooking A Single Man to take that 9th spot.
It’s got huge critical support and if it grabs 2 nominations (at least) you can’t suggest it’ll be off their radar.
Again my favorite movie of the year gets snubbed. Where the hell is Away We Go??
To quote a clownfish, there’s something wrong with you. Really.
I agree Supporting Actress is the category with the most flexibility. Mo’Nique is a given, and Anna Kendrick appears to be a lock. I don’t know if Farmiga is deserving, but she and the movie have strong support. I agree Julianne Moore will return to the fold; if anyone can do it without a SAG nomination, though the guild usually loves her, it’s Moore. I also feel the reviews will keep last year’s winner Cruz from getting in, but because everyone says Cotillard steals the film, I think she will be a “surprise” BSA nominee who simply missed out on some previous nods due to category confusion. Morton does worry me, and I’m thinking The Messenger will be nominated for Best Picture and needs more than just Supporting Actor. Screenplay is possible, though. And A Single Man will have all these side nominations but miss out on Best Picture? Everyone seems to think so, but I wonder.
I’m still wondering if/how McKay can sneak in to Best Supporting Actor. He got excellent reviews, but I don’t see the Academy overlooking Plummer this time. And Damon is a huge star in a Best Picture hopeful with the necessary precursor nominations, so he doesn’t seem likely to budge.
Oh, and I know there’s love for Inglourious Basterds, and the SAG’s nomination of Diane Kruger reflects that. Melanie Laurent has missed out on the major awards this season, but I could see her stealing the fifth slot. She almost certainly would have been nominated by the SAGs, given Kruger’s inclusion, had she not been submitted for lead.
No love for Marion Cotillard? Nine may not have been great, but she could play a trash can and be great. And what about Tom Ford for best director?
Here, here. The movie was awful but she was inspired. The songs she had to sing were no good but she soldiered through them and gave an incredible portrayal of a woman overcome with love and anguish.
A Single Man was pretty to look at, and Colin Firth was great, but aside form that it was like one extended photo shoot.
This was simply the wrong year to expand BP from 5 to 10 movies; there aren’t 10 movies worth honoring this year. With each passing day, with each $16-18 million per day it earns at the boxoffice, there’s Avatar and then there’s everybody else. Are you seriously going to try and sell Hurt Locker, one of a gazillion Iraq war films that were soundly rejected by audiences in every way and its $12.7 million gross as best picture? It would be, by far, the lowest-earning BP in recent Academy history. Worse than Annie Hall’s $38 million, still the platinum standard of Oscar robbery (in the year of Star Wars). Embraced by critics and fans alike, Avatar is. And Bullock for a best actress nomination? Three words for her supporters: ALL ABOUT STEVE. Bullock’s own ‘Norbit’, which cost Eddie Murphy, IMO, an Oscar.
Yeah, but he was still nominated.
Are you saying that we should just award the best picture oscar to the highest grossing film and be done with it?
Lola, I’m not advocating that in the slightest. Although Transformers 2 should get every Razzie it’s nominated for. Mega-smash success with the public, Avatar is; still over 80% critics favorite on Rotten Tomatoes. That kind of balance is what I’m hoping sways the academy into voting it BP. But Hurt Locker was just another Iraq war movie in a long line of Iraq war movies that people simply rejected. Who’s going to remember Hurt Locker 6 months from now? Avatar is the game-changer that was advertised – and delivered the goods with.
Looks like a pretty strong and accurate group of nominees, hopefully Oscar agrees.
I’m predicting Kruger OR Melanie Laurent from Basterds over Farmiga. I see Up in the Air gaining only one Supp. Actress nomination.
I really like your pics! I don’t agree with everything (Invictus seemed to not have editors…or direction…or casting agents who cared after the leads were cast) I respect your decisions. And as long as Nine stays way out of the race, I’ll be happy.