Oscar Predictions: EW's final forecast for all 24 categories

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Documentary Short

Will Win: Inocente. This emotional story of a homeless teenage artist has the slight edge in a tough competition.

Runner-Up: Mondays At Racine, the story of cancer patients shedding their hair at a salon that trims away the locks for free, as a service to those fighting to survive.

Surprise: Kings Point, about changes of life at a Florida retirement community.

Live Action Short

Will Win: Death of a Shadow, a steampunk, Twilight Zone-esque supernatural drama about a World War I soldier (Rust and Bone‘s Matthias Schoenaerts) using a mystical camera to capture the souls of the dying.

Runner-Up: Curfew, the story of a suicidal man whose effort to end his life is interrupted when he finds himself stuck babysitting his young niece.

Surprise: Asad, about a young Somali boy’s temptation to join an outlaw pirate gang.

Animated Short

Will Win: Paperman. The black-and-white love story from Walt Disney Animation Studios is a popular favorite, although this is a prize that tends to skew indie.

Runner-Up: Adam and Dog, a homegrown, hand-drawn tale of the Garden of Eden, and man’s best friend.

Surprise: Head Over Heels, a stop-motion film about a mismatched husband and wife who live on two different planes of existence — one on the ceiling and the other on the floor.

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