Golden Globes: Sure-things, shocks, and shutdowns -- ANALYSIS

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It was a good day to be lesser-known. If Barkhad Abdi, June Squibb, and Lupita Nyong’o can win nominations from the celebrity-obsessed Golden Globes, then their path to the Academy Awards ceremony is a near certainty. On the other hand, today’s list of contenders was not so kind to one of the most famous women on the planet.

Sorry, Oprah. You’ve been snubbed. The Globes also had two opportunities to get George Clooney at the ceremony — and declined both chances.

Clooney could have been nominated as a supporting actor for Gravity, and was also a producer of August: Osage County, which failed to land a best comedy/musical slot. Winfrey was considered a virtual lock for her boozy housewife role in The Butler.

Their omissions are a surprise only because the Globes like to “cast” their carpet by honoring the most well-known people possible. That didn’t happen as egregiously this year. There are still stars, of course, those performers you know even by their first names alone: Meryl, Sandra, Julia.

One thing to remember: There is literally zero crossover between the approximately 90 Golden Globe voters of the Hollywood Foreign Press and the more than 6,000 filmmaking professionals who cast Oscar ballots as part of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.

Still, awards season is a game of being seen — and the Golden Globes draw a massive TV audience. A good showing there can help, if only in terms of perception.

Here’s a look at some of the top categories and who’s up and who’s down — including a scorecard for how well (or poorly) EW’s Prize Fighter fared in predicting the Globe nominations:

• Best Picture – Drama
• Best  Picture – Comedy/Musical
 Actor – Drama
• Actress – Drama
• Actor – Comedy/Musical
• Actress – Comedy/Musical
• Supporting Actor
• Supporting Actress
• Director

NEXT PAGE: BEST PICTURE – DRAMA

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