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Tag: Oscar predictions (11-20 of 49)

Oscar winners: Surprises and sure things

We at EW managed a decent 18 for 24 in our Oscar predictions this year. But since I’m a glutton for punishment, instead of focusing on the categories we predicted correctly (including all three short-film prizes!), let’s look at the six we got wrong…and why.

Best Cinematography I thought The Tree of Life would take home this trophy for its stunningly gorgeous photography, with The Artist as a possible spoiler. Hugo was my third choice, and it won. Clearly overall support for the film helped Robert Richardson’s case, although the film does feature dazzling camerawork, particularly in the opening sequence.

Best Editing Thinking this prize would be part of an overall sweep, I predicted The Artist for the win. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo was my third choice; though it’s the most dizzyingly cut film of the five, I thought it would prove too dark for the Academy. READ FULL STORY

Final Oscar predictions: How many trophies will 'The Artist' win?

With Oscar ballots now in and only four days to go until the awards ceremony, The Artist is looking like the clear victor at this year’s Academy Awards. But how many trophies will it actually win on Sunday? It’s nominated in 10 categories, and I’d say it will definitely walk away with five wins (Best Picture, Director, Editing, Score, and Costume Design) and possibly as many as eight if it also snags Best Actor, Original Screenplay, and Cinematography. (The only races it certainly won’t win: Best Supporting Actress and Art Direction.) Meanwhile, Best Actor and Best Actress remain tight contests, between George Clooney and Jean Dujardin for actor and Viola Davis and Meryl Streep for actress. Here are the final EW predictions in all 24 races (with thanks to my colleague Thom Geier for taking the lead on the short-film and foreign-language categories).

Best Picture The Artist
Best Director Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Best Actor George Clooney, The Descendants
Best Actress Viola Davis, The Help
Best Supporting Actor Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Best Supporting Actress Octavia Spencer, The Help
Best Original Screenplay Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Best Adapted Screenplay Alexander Payne, Jim Rash, and Nat Faxon, The Descendants
Best Editing The Artist
Best Cinematography The Tree of Life
Best Costume Design The Artist
Best Art Direction Hugo
Best Original Score The Artist
Best Original Song “Man or Muppet,” The Muppets
Best Makeup The Iron Lady
Best Sound Editing Hugo
Best Sound Mixing Hugo
Best Visual Effects Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Best Foreign-Language Film A Separation
Best Documentary Feature Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
Best Animated Feature Rango
Best Animated Short The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore
Best Live-Action Short The Shore
Best Documentary Short Saving Face

I’ll be on the Oscars carpet and backstage during the telecast, so follow me on Twitter (@davekarger) for all the behind-the-scenes scoop.

Oscar predictions: 10 days to go

Descendants

We’re less than a week from the Oscar-ballot deadline, and not much has changed with my Oscar predictions. Best Actor remains the tightest of the four acting races, and I could equally see it going to George Clooney or Jean Dujardin. (Many people have asked me recently whether those two guys could split, resulting in a Brad Pitt win. I don’t really understand their question: What vote would Clooney and Dujardin split? Anyway, it’s not going to happen.) Meanwhile, my only predicted-winner change is in the Best Adapted Screenplay category. Although single-credited screenplays usually win, I feel like most voters will consider The Descendants (for right or wrong) basically the work of Alexander Payne. Here are my current predictions in the eight major races.

Best Picture
1. The Artist (last week: 1) READ FULL STORY

Oscar predictions: 18 days to go

We’re finally in the homestretch of the Oscar season, and I’m happy to say we have a handful of real races on our hands this year. Best Actor continues to befuddle me, while Best Actress and Best Adapted Screenplay could both offer surprises on Feb. 26 . At this point I’m thinking Hugo screenwriter John Logan could capitalize on all the support for the film — not to mention the fact that he’s a sole credited writer, which always helps. At this week’s Oscar nominees luncheon, I was taken aback by the tremendous amount of goodwill directed at Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close supporting-actor nominee Max von Sydow. (Perhaps because Christopher Plummer wasn’t there, von Sydow received an inordinate amount of octogenarian love.) Do I suddenly think von Sydow could beat Plummer? No, but he definitely moves up a few rungs in my rankings this week. On today’s episode of my Oscar.com series Nominated With Dave Karger, we take a closer look at Extremely Loud.

Best Picture
1. The Artist (last week: 1) READ FULL STORY

Oscar predictions: Can Jean Dujardin beat George Clooney?

Last night’s Screen Actors Guild Award results certainly made at least one Oscar category a lot more interesting. Jean Dujardin’s win changed Best Actor from a race between George Clooney and Brad Pitt to a fight between Clooney and Dujardin. And as we’ve seen over the years (The King’s Speech, Gladiator, American Beauty), the Academy often likes to pair up Best Picture and Best Actor. I’m not quite ready to predict Dujardin as the Oscar winner just yet, but after I talk to some more voters, I may change my mind in the coming weeks. Meanwhile, The Help‘s Best Cast win (one of three victories for the film last night) was a wonderful moment for that group of actors, but history is not on its side when it comes to its Oscar chances next month. The last time a film won Best Picture without writing or directing nominations was all the way back in 1932. In my mind, The Artist—which has won the Producers Guild and Directors Guild awards—is still the clear favorite. Even though there are several films that lost Best Picture after winning the PGA and DGA (among them Brokeback Mountain and Saving Private Ryan), I don’t sense another film with enough overall support to unseat it. So here are my current rankings in the top 8 categories.

READ FULL STORY

Sundance 2012: The 12 biggest stories of the indie film fest

SUNDANCE-02

Sundance 2012 took place over 10 days, featured 117 movies, marked the debut of 45 first-time filmmakers, and for film lovers there was no better place to be than Park City, Utah — even if not all the news coming out of the festival was happy.

Studio sales were strong, which means many of the most buzzed-about titles will make it to theaters, and — as usual – a few previously unknown storytellers emerged as stars, while a handful of Hollywood veterans faceplanted in the snow.

One high-profile death cast a sense of mourning over the gathering, but a particularly upbeat lineup of movies managed to keep spirits high overall.

Here’s a wrap-up of what went down at Sundance 2012. READ FULL STORY

Oscar predictions: Ranking the nominees

With the Oscar nominations now behind us, it’s time to take stock of my predictions. My best call? Max Von Sydow for Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close. (The Academy loves elderly and cuddly!) My worst? Switching from seven Best Picture nominees to five. (What was I thinking?) But let’s not dwell in the past, shall we? Now that we know the nominees, let’s move on to who actually has a chance to win next month. Clearly the two closest races are Best Picture and Best Actress. For actress, I’m still going with Viola Davis, but only by a hair. And for picture, Hugo did score more overall nominations than The Artist. But although the movie with the most nominations has taken Best Picture 14 times in the last 20 years, in the recent past there have been several films—among them The Hurt Locker, Million Dollar Baby, and A Beautiful Mind—that either tied or trailed their competition in the total-nominations count but took the top prize. Typically, these underdogs triumphed over their more-nominated competitors (Avatar, The Aviator, and The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring) thanks to clear support from the Academy’s actors branch. While The Artist can boast two acting nods, Hugo has none, and it was also completely left out of the SAG Awards. So my money is still on The Artist. We’ll see what happens at the Directors Guild awards this weekend. Here are my rankings of the nominees in the eight major categories.

Best Picture
1. The Artist
2. Hugo
3. The Descendants
4. The Help
5. Midnight in Paris
6. Moneyball
7. The Tree of Life
8. War Horse 
9. Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close

READ FULL STORY

Oscar nominations: What will be tomorrow's biggest surprise?

We’re now only hours away from the Academy Award nominations. I’ve already posted my predictions, but I’m bound to get more than a few wrong. So what will be tomorrow’s biggest surprise? Here are 10 possibilities. To be clear, I’m not expecting all of these to happen; they’re just potential unexpected outcomes. But should any them actually materialize, don’t say I didn’t warn you.  READ FULL STORY

Oscar predictions: Final pre-nomination rankings

We’re now only a week away from the Oscar nominations, and this morning’s BAFTA nominees announcement certainly spiced things up a bit. So it’s time for me to put my money where my mouth has been for the last few months and settle on my final predictions in the eight major categories.

BEST PICTURE
1. The Artist (last week: 1)
2. The Descendants (last week: 2)
3. The Help (last week: 3)
4. Hugo (last week: 4)
5. Midnight in Paris (last week: 5) READ FULL STORY

Oscar predictions: After Directors Guild

Yesterday’s Directors Guild Awards nominations managed to shake up the Oscar race by including David Fincher for The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo over The Tree of Life‘s Terrence Malick and War Horse‘s Steven Spielberg. After being overlooked by the Writers Guild and Directors Guild, War Horse now falls below The HelpHugoMidnight in Paris, and The Descendants in my rankings. I still think enough crafts-branch members may give it sufficient votes for a Best Picture nomination. The Tree of Life, meanwhile, was completely shut out by all four major guild awards. While it is possible to earn a Best Picture nod without a single major-guild nomination (Letters From Iwo Jima pulled it off, for instance), it’s quite rare. With only three days left until nomination ballots are due, here’s where things stand in the six major races.

BEST PICTURE
1. The Artist (last week: 1)
2. The Descendants (last week: 3)
3. The Help (last week: 4)
4. Hugo (last week: 5)
5. Midnight in Paris (last week: 6)
6. War Horse (last week: 2)
7. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo (last week: 10)
8. Moneyball (last week: 7)
9. The Tree of Life (last week: 8 )
10. Bridesmaids (last week: 9)  READ FULL STORY

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