Oscar predictions: After Producers Guild

So how does today’s Producers Guild Awards announcement — and its surprising omission of The Tree of Life — affect the overall Oscar race? The Tree of Life took a bit of a hit today; if it also fails to earn a Directors Guild nomination, it may be down for the count. Here are my weekly ranked lists in the six major categories.

BEST PICTURE
1. The Artist (last week: 1)
2. War Horse (last week: 2)
3. The Descendants (last week: 3)
4. The Help (last week: 4)
5. Hugo (last week: 5)
6. Midnight in Paris (last week: 6)
7. Moneyball (last week: 8 )
8. The Tree of Life (last week: 7)
9. Bridesmaids (last week: 10)
10. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo (last week: 14)
11. The Ides of March (last week: 12)
12. Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close (last week: 9)
13. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows — Part 2 (last week: 11)
14. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (last week: 13)
15. Drive (last week: 15)

BEST DIRECTOR
1. Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist (last week: 1)
2. Steven Spielberg, War Horse (last week: 2)
3. Martin Scorsese, Hugo (last week: 3)
4. Alexander Payne, The Descendants (last week: 4)
5. Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life (last week: 5)
6. Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris (last week: 6)
7. David Fincher, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo (last week: 9)
8. Tate Taylor, The Help (last week: 8 )
9. George Clooney, The Ides of March (last week: 11)
10. Stephen Daldry, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (last week: 7)
11. Bennett Miller, Moneyball (last week: 10)
12. Nicolas Winding Refn, Drive (last week: 12)

BEST ACTOR
1. George Clooney, The Descendants (last week: 1)
2. Brad Pitt, Moneyball (last week: 2)
3. Jean Dujardin, The Artist (last week: 3)
4. Michael Fassbender, Shame (last week: 4)
5. Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar (last week: 5)
6. Michael Shannon, Take Shelter (last week: 6)
7. Demián Bichir, A Better Life (last week: 7)
8. Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (last week: 8 )
9. Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March (last week: 11)
10. Woody Harrelson, Rampart (last week: 10)
11. Ryan Gosling, Drive (last week: 9)
12. Matt Damon, We Bought a Zoo (last week: 12)

BEST ACTRESS
1. Viola Davis, The Help (last week: 1)
2. Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady (last week: 2)
3. Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn (last week: 3)
4. Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs (last week: 4)
5. Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin (last week: 5)
6. Charlize Theron, Young Adult (last week: 6)
7. Rooney Mara, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo (last week: 7)
8. Elizabeth Olsen, Martha Marcy May Marlene (last week: 8 )
9. Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids (last week: 9)
10. Keira Knightley, A Dangerous Method (last week: 10)
11. Kirsten Dunst, Melancholia (last week: 11)
12. Felicity Jones, Like Crazy (last week: 12)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Christopher Plummer, Beginners (last week: 1)
2. Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn (last week: 2)
3. Albert Brooks, Drive (last week: 3)
4. Jonah Hill, Moneyball (last week: 4)
5. Nick Nolte, Warrior (last week: 5)
6. Max Von Sydow, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (last week: 6)
7. Armie Hammer, J. Edgar (last week: 7)
8. Ben Kingsley, Hugo (last week: 8)
9. Patton Oswalt, Young Adult (last week: 9)
10. Viggo Mortensen, A Dangerous Method (last week: 10)
11. Andy Serkis, Rise of the Planet of the Apes (last week: 11)
12. George Clooney, The Ides of March (last week: 12)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Octavia Spencer, The Help (last week: 1)
2. Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids (last week: 2)
3. Bérénice Bejo, The Artist (last week: 3)
4. Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs (last week: 4)
5. Jessica Chastain, The Help (last week: 5)
6. Shailene Woodley, The Descendants (last week: 6)
7. Vanessa Redgrave, Coriolanus (last week: 7)
8. Carey Mulligan, Shame (last week: 8 )
9. Sandra Bullock, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (last week: 9)
10. Judy Greer, The Descendants (last week: 10)
11. Jessica Chastain, The Tree of Life (last week: 11)
12. Kate Winslet, Carnage (last week: 12)

Dave on Twitter: @davekarger

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