Oscar predictions: Golden Globes certainties, surprises and snubs

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prize_fighter1_bannerBest Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture — Comedy Or Musical
Emily Blunt, Salmon Fishing in the Yemen
Judi Dench, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Maggie Smith, Quartet
Meryl Streep, Hope Springs

Certainty: Jennifer Lawrence of Silver Linings Playbook. Her twisted, fiery performance as a sex-addict widow, who galvanizes Bradley Cooper’s bi-polar football fan, is an Oscar certainty.

Surprises: Maggie Smith is an underdog candidate for Quartet, Dustin Hoffman’s directorial debut, and that dramedy about a feisty newcomer to a retirement community for musicians will enjoy this push as its nears its U.S. debut on Dec. 28. Emily Blunt’s Salmon bid is a shock, as previously mentioned. And Meryl Streep’s nod for a perfectly fine performance as a frustrated wife in Hope Springs is the HFPA’s way of putting the world’s greatest actress in the crowd for its awards show.

Snubs: As with Streep, the HFPA loves to pad its event with stars, and I would have guessed that Barbra Streisand’s needling Jewish mother in the Seth Rogen comedy The Guilt Trip would have scored her a trip to the Globes. Sorry, Babs. The Globe voters may have learned a lesson about being too frivolous with their honors after repeated scoldings by past host Ricky Gervais.

NEXT PAGE — Winners, losers, shocks: Comedy/Musical Actor


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