Will Win: Searching For Sugar Man, Malik Bendjelloul and Simon Chinn. This story about efforts to track down a legendary musician has been dominating the season.
Runner-Up: The AIDS saga How to Survive a Plague could pull an upset with its story of life-or-death resistance.
Surprise: The Gatekeepers, the behind-the-scenes story of the Israeli secret service’s anti-terrorism efforts.
Will Win: Amour, Austria. With Best Picture, Screenplay, and Director nods, it’s hard to imagine this film losing.
Runner-Up: Kon-Tiki, Norway
Surprise: A Royal Affair, Denmark