Golden Globes: Sure-things, shocks, and shutdowns -- ANALYSIS

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American Hustle
Inside Llewyn Davis
The Wolf of Wall Street

CERTAINTIES: Nebraska has proven repeatedly that it’s a strong contender in the Best Picture race, and this assures things for the intimate, black-and-white film about a Mid-Western old-timer on a quest for the million dollars he thinks he has won. Latecomers to the race American Hustle and The Wolf of Wall Street also needed this to establish bona fides.

SURPRISES:There has been a lot of doubt expressed about Her, but those who see it tend to love it. After faring well in a round of smaller awards last week, this nomination is just the latest proof that the sci-fi love story has what it takes.

SNUBS: It won a Pulitzer and a Tony, but August: Osage County hasn’t done so well in the movie-awards department. Its omission is especially surprising because distributor Harvey Weinstein has such strong sway with the HFPA.

PRIZE FIGHTER SCORE: 4 out of 5. I thought August: Osage County would get in, but am happy to be wrong if it means the inclusion of Her, a film I thought the Globes would ignore — especially after such a fuss was made about the group disqualifying Scarlett Johansson’s voice performance.


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