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Tag: Oscar predictions (1-10 of 49)

Oscar winners: Analysis of who won, why, and where EW went wrong and right

prize_fighter1_bannerThere weren’t many upsets at the 2013 Oscars — more like a lot of sure-things, and a few very close races that could have gone one of three (or sometimes four) different ways.

As expected, Argo claimed the Best Picture award, riding an unstoppable wave of support after Ben Affleck was denied a directing nomination. Did voters cast their ballots last night, and throughout all the pre-Oscar guild awards, because they felt bad for the actor/filmmaker? That’s absurd. The Academy Awards may make pitiful choices sometimes, but they are not a pity party. READ FULL STORY

Oscar Predictions: EW's final forecast for all 24 categories

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There’s no award given for Best Oscar Predictions — and if there were, I’m sure somehow Argo would figure out a way to win that, too.

But we at EW have done our best homework and legwork to try to gauge which films will triumph at Sunday’s Academy Awards ceremony.

We talked to scores of voters, factored in guild wins and other pre-Oscar prizes, weighed critical assessments, checked our guts, flipped coins, threw darts at a board, prayed to St. Vitriol, patron saint of award season pundits, and watched an octopus and a gorilla repeatedly arm wrestle while they wore top hats emblazoned with the names of the two frontrunners in each category.

Science, baby.

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Oscar Upheaval: What does 'Argo' Globes victory mean?

prize_fighter1_bannerEvery time it seems like the dust is settling, something kicks it back up again.

Just days after Ben Affleck’s epic directing snub for Argo seemed to invalidate that movie’s chances of winning Best Picture, it seems to be emerging as … the frontrunner?

Note the question mark in bold.

Argo won both best director and best drama at the Golden Globes last night (after claiming similar honors at the Broadcast Film Critics Awards on the night of the snub-tastic nominations), and even though there is no crossover between those groups and Academy voters, the victories have become rallying points for those who feel Affleck was done a grievous wrong. (The more divisive Kathryn Bigelow of Zero Dark Thirty and Tom Hooper of Les Miserables, also left off the Academy’s director list, don’t seem to be generating the same backlash. At least, not that I’ve heard so far.)

Could Argo claim the Oscar for Best Picture as the rest of the Academy tries to compensate for the directors branch overlooking him?

That was a theory put forth by many awards insiders and Academy voters at the parties last night. “If I were the frontrunner, I’d be worried,” said one member.

That means, once again, somebody needs to keep an eye on Lincoln’s back. READ FULL STORY

Writers Guild Awards honor 'Perks' and 'Looper' among surprises

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The tricky thing about the Writers Guild Awards is that some of the major contenders for the Oscar aren’t eligible.

So the absence of Django Unchained and Amour in the original screenplay category has more to do with the work not being covered by the guild than an actual snub of the writing. The same goes for the adapted screenplays Les Miserables and Beasts of the Southern Wild.

Still, the work nominated today by the writers union could each still be major Oscar players. READ FULL STORY

James Bond: Oscars to feature special 50th anniversary tribute

prize_fighter1_banner007 has a new reason to put on a tux.

Skyfall is the James Bond franchise’s strongest-ever shot at an Oscar for best picture, but whether the movie gets a nod or not, the 23-film spy series will be the subject of a special tribute at this year’s ceremony.

The producers of the Academy Awards announced today that the Feb. 24 telecast will take time for a look back at the legacy of the shaken-not-stirred superspy.

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007 Oscar hopes? 'Skyfall' lands on Producers Guild Awards list of top films

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prize_fighter1_bannerThe Producers Guild of America has announced its nominations for best productions of the year, in what is often looked to as an indicator for how the Academy Awards may go.

The guild selected 10 films — most of them common guesses for the group that could make up the Oscar list of the best films of 2012: Argo, Lincoln, Les Misérables, and Zero Dark Thirty among others.

The one surprise: Skyfall. No 007 film has ever cracked the Best Picture list, but if this nomination is any indication, that could change when the Oscar nods are revealed Jan. 10.

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Anne Hathaway's cautionary Oscar advice for host Seth MacFarlane -- EXCLUSIVE

prize_fighter1_bannerAnne Hathaway has some cautionary advice for Seth MacFarlane as he preps to host the Oscars: “Have … a … plan.”

She pauses, laughs a little mordantly and adds: “Have several.”

Hathaway’s ultra-chipper co-hosting experience opposite a low-energy James Franco two years ago provoked a lot of dislike — including from her, when she finally saw a little bit of it.

This year, the Les Miserables star will likely be back at the ceremony as a supporting actress nominee, and she’s actually offering some very good, very practical advice to the Family Guy creator for when he steps out onto that stage Feb. 24.

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CONSIDER THIS: Aaron Sorkin gives a frack about 'Promised Land'

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Academy Awards voting is in full swing, and EW’s Prize Fighter has spent the week asking folks with Oscar histories of their own to share their personal favorites of the year. Aaron Sorkin, who had an adapted screenplay nomination last year for co-writing Moneyball and won in the category for The Social Network, wrote us on behalf of Promised Land, a drama about a rural town that is considering selling its natural gas rights, though there may be an unseen risk to the reward.

Somewhere along the line, someone in the next few weeks is going to tell you that Promised Land, a perfect film from Matt Damon, John Krasinski and Gus Van Sant, is about fracking. They won’t be entirely wrong, but Promised Land is only about fracking if Jaws is about fishing. READ FULL STORY

Oscar predictions: Golden Globes certainties, surprises and snubs

How much did this morning’s Golden Globe nominations shake up the Oscar race?

Eh … Let’s just say that the primary beneficiary will be DVDs of a little Ewan McGregor comedy called Salmon Fishing in the Yemen, which very modestly came and went from theaters early last spring. That movie picked up three nominations in the best musical/comedy categories of picture, lead actor for McGregor, and lead actress for Emily Blunt.

Also, what the …? Nicole Kidman gets another supporting actress nomination for the critically lambasted The Paperboy after yesterday’s nod from the Screen Actors Guild? Okay then.

I wouldn’t say that Kidman and Salmon Fishing now have shots at the Oscars, but these mentions by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association — which has no crossover with the voting body of the Academy Awards, by the way — are fairly strong “for your consideration” recommendations. The quirk of having a separate category for drama means that the occasional offbeat comedy choice like Salmon gets some time in the Globes spotlight. (I’m not sure how to explain the Kidman thing, though.)

The other nods were what you might expect: Lincoln led the contenders with seven nominations: best drama, dramatic actor for Daniel Day-Lewis,  director for Steven Spielberg, a screenplay nomination for Tony Kushner, a music nomination for John Williams, and supporting mentions for Tommy Lee Jones and Sally Field.

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National Board of Review highlights 'Compliance' actress Ann Dowd and 'Zero Dark Thirty'

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The National Board of Review chose Zero Dark Thirty as its best film, but it was the selection of a few out-of-the-box nominees that are most compelling — including a supporting actress nomination for character actress Ann Dowd’s work in the indie thriller Compliance.

Zero Dark Thirty, which also claimed the group’s best director prize for Kathryn Bigelow, can count this — along with the same wins at the New York Film Critics Circle on Monday — as a serious momentum-builder in the race for the Oscars. But ever since it began screening last week, the film has been heralded far and wide as a heavyweight award season player. Academy voters, it’s fair to say, are already aware.

For someone like Dowd, whose film is lesser known and doesn’t have the same marketing machine behind her, this is a critical victory, a massive “CONSIDER THIS” sign pointed directly at her. If they haven’t already, the Screen Actors Guild nominating committee, Golden Globe voters, and Academy members would be wise to check out her work in the film, in which she plays a well-meaning fast-food manager who is manipulated into thinking one of her employees (Don’t Trust the B‘s Dreama Walker) is guilty of a crime.

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